6: Future Climate: Projected Average

 

Future Climate: Projected Average interprets computer-model simulations of future climate in the region—what the patterns might be over the coming century for temperature, precipitation, atmospheric circulation (long-term weather), and hydrologic (water-related) conditions, such as snow water equivalent, soil moisture, and runoff for the Colorado River and in other basins.

Citation: 

Cayan, D., M. Tyree, K. E. Kunkel, C. Castro, A. Gershunov, J. Barsugli, A. J. Ray, J. Overpeck, M. Anderson, J. Russell, B. Rajagopalan, I. Rangwala, and P. Duffy. 2013. “Future Climate: Projected Average.” In Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, edited by G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy, 101–125. A report by the Southwest Climate Alliance. Washington, DC: Island Press.

Temperatures in the Southwest will rise substantially (by at least 3°F—and up to 9°F—over recent historical averages) over the 21st century.
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